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Week 4 Betting Lines (Fall 2024)

Melrose Home (+2.0 Goals) (+130)
The Grassholes (-2.0 Goals) (-175)

Over 6.0 (-130)
Under 6.0 (-110)

Notes:
The Grassholes are suddenly the hottest team in D5 and quite honestly, even after a 4-0 start, might still be somewhat underrated by the public. They’re playing top notch all-around hockey with offense, defense and goaltending as Corey has been lights out returning to his Vezina form from the spring after a rough summer season. Yellow has been solid enough with two wins in five games, but with both wins in OT their points-per-game is a play-in style 0.8 and losing Russo for tonight with James nursing an injury is far from ideal for fans of Melrose (the team, not the 90s primetime soap drama). A few weeks ago, this line would have been something like green @ -200. Now they’re a legit two goal favorite with that side juiced almost to -200. Life comes at you fast. Green to keep on rolling down that grassy hill with a 3 goal win. Wait did they kill Kennedy? Probably.

My Cup Size Is Stanley (EVEN)
Untitled Blue Team (-145)

Over 7.5 (-110)
Under 7.5 (-130)

Notes:
Commissioner Bowl is on and this game feels like it’s set to be a total shitshow with both teams missing just a metric fuckton of players. Black won’t have Minsky, Mikey, Rani, Dave Abada or Kittridge with CC subbing in for Hill. Blue will be without Chad, Liang, Abe, Vanck and Gitzis with Brita subbing in for Jenna and Doug in net for Geskin. I’m actually seeing this game as close to a total toss-up. Black has the edge in offense, blue in defense while the women and goalies are pretty much even. However since the public is sure to back the team they love to hate but also love to make money betting on, I am installing blue as a slight -145 favorite. The preponderance of subs, short benches and overall shitshow quality of this game make this the highest over/under of the season that I still suspect will probably end up going over.

Untitled Blue Team (-135)
Merry Pranksters (-105)

Over 6.0 (-130)
Under 6.0 (-110)

Notes:
Pranksters are one of the few teams tonight rocking a mostly full lineup except for Ariel and Ben. This gives them a slight edge tonight but also I don’t think they’ve played as poorly as their record indicates; they’ve been in every game and have come up just short in two games against green who might be a legit contender and one against black who had a stacked lineup last Friday. Blue will be missing a bunch of guys and on the second half of a back-to-back. Tough one to handicap as the public will surely ignore everything I just wrote and hammer blue but I think this game is going to be very close and probably pretty low scoring. No bets on this one for me except possibly a light sprinkle on the under.

Merry Pranksters (-120)
Halloweenies (-120)
Over 6.0 (+115)
Under 6.0 (-160)

Notes:
Storer is a GTD for this game but trending towards not playing and his status obviously has a tremendous impact on the odds as the Weenies have a super elite top unit but some depth issues, particularly with Flynn also questionable for this tilt and Sarah nursing an injury. Steph will sub in for them in this one but I’m not sure if it’ll be enough against a mostly full Pranksters lineup and one that will be fully warmed up from their previous tilt vs blue. This line may raise some eyebrows just like the previous one but I’m taking Pranksters to pull the upset. As long as McCracken doesn’t go god mode and pull the shutout, tie dye should have enough to pull out (the win) in this one.

Red Sabbath (+1.0 Goals) (-120)
Halloweenies (-1.0 Goals) (-120)

Over 5.5 (-120)
Under 5.5 (-120)

Notes:
The final game of the night is a rematch from Tuesday night’s west coast special in which red played way better than expected and actually dominated long bouts of possession, but ultimately came up just short when their 1st rounder Lucas had to leave the game early because either Tom high sticked him or lifted his stick into his face or something and Joe got loose for a partial breakaway and buried his own rebound with less than a minute left. I’m not totally sure what Red Sabbath’s lineup will look like except that Simon is tonight’s goalie wildcard selection while the Weenies are likely to be without Storer who was instrumental in Tuesday night’s victory. This one will be tight, could surprise you and could also get rained out midway through. I think Joe and McCracken are probably still enough for orange to get the win here but I also did close to zero research on the rest of red’s lineup and am definitely not going to start now. See ya tonight.

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